Fire RileTier 1

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

The 68 public Fire Rile decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

• MrJack 87 cards · placed #1
• mingli 85 cards · placed #2
• Royan 85 cards · placed #3
• Zero99 87 cards · placed #4
• Dexter 85 cards · placed #5
• Aqua 87 cards · placed #7
• Hm773 83 cards · placed #8
• oscarpan 85 cards · placed #9
• Fayyadh 81 cards · placed #10
• JimmyHuang 83 cards · placed #11
• HtH 88 cards · placed #13
• Yadon 83 cards · placed #15
• Legilus 87 cards · placed #16
• Skysama 83 cards · placed #19
• HenkieTheGoat 83 cards · placed #20
• AidenW 87 cards · placed #22
• SkYyeung 87 cards · placed #24
• HydraRS 87 cards · placed #25
• IanChan 87 cards · placed #27
• Muxioalan 87 cards · placed #29
• Hide 87 cards · placed #30
• Yuuhi 87 cards · placed #31
• KevinTung 85 cards · placed #32
• victorhk 85 cards · placed #33
• Amarok 83 cards · placed #35
• MJs 83 cards · placed #36
• Pizza 83 cards · placed #37
• Valence 83 cards · placed #39
• Weiweimywife 83 cards · placed #41
• Gua 85 cards · placed #45
• william 87 cards · placed #46
• CarlosWong 88 cards · placed #48
• IvanKlaric 87 cards · placed #50
• Tomykaka 87 cards · placed #54
• ck255055 87 cards · placed #55
• iamnotroso 81 cards · placed #56
• TalonOuO 85 cards · placed #57
• Zanie 83 cards · placed #58
• CPang 85 cards · placed #59
• Zefier 85 cards · placed #60
• Tree 82 cards · placed #61
• TheDon 83 cards · placed #62
• IamFlukeovo 83 cards · placed #63
• HoshiroNeko 87 cards · placed #68
• KEVIN0621 85 cards · placed #69
• Beta 85 cards · placed #71
• KyH 87 cards · placed #74
• Alexanderrrr 85 cards · placed #77
• MeowwwZ 85 cards · placed #78
• Kelvin 85 cards · placed #80
• MihaneKaede 84 cards · placed #82
• HOJONGYI 87 cards · placed #89
• Meet1231 82 cards · placed #90
• NickyFung428 84 cards · placed #91
• 0416ronin 85 cards · placed #92
• Lemonteaa 83 cards · placed #95
• Rexyang28 87 cards · placed #96
• Chris 83 cards · placed #98
• Oswald 83 cards · placed #102
• DuelistA 80 cards · placed #105
• Georgy 85 cards · placed #106
• Goodnevild 87 cards · placed #107
• Kaijie 84 cards · placed #111
• ronny 83 cards · placed #115
• GLOOMYBEAR 75 cards · placed #117
• Ayuayu 87 cards · placed #119
• KcBanana 83 cards · placed #121
• Wirry 85 cards · placed #122

In 116 mirror matches (3 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 24 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Regal Inquisition, Resolute Stand, Blanche, Sheltering Saint. Losers more often ran: Grand Crusader's Ring, Embercrypt Burn, Smoke Bombs.

↑ Played more by winners

Regal Inquisition

Winning decks ran 2.0 copies on average, losing decks 1.7.

Of 116 mirrors: the winner ran more in 48, the loser ran more in 31, both ran the same in 37.

Resolute Stand

Winning decks ran 2.9 copies on average, losing decks 2.7.

Of 116 mirrors: the winner ran more in 47, the loser ran more in 32, both ran the same in 37.

Blanche, Sheltering Saint

Winning decks ran 1.1 copies on average, losing decks 0.9.

Of 116 mirrors: the winner ran more in 41, the loser ran more in 29, both ran the same in 46.

Backup Charger

Winning decks ran 0.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.5.

Of 116 mirrors: the winner ran more in 35, the loser ran more in 23, both ran the same in 58.

Heavenly Guide

Winning decks ran 0.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.

Of 116 mirrors: the winner ran more in 34, the loser ran more in 25, both ran the same in 57.

The Looking Glass

Winning decks ran 0.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.3.

Of 116 mirrors: the winner ran more in 30, the loser ran more in 21, both ran the same in 65.

↓ Played more by losers

Grand Crusader's Ring

Losing decks ran 0.6 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.

Of 116 mirrors: the loser ran more in 37, the winner ran more in 22, both ran the same in 57.

Embercrypt Burn

Losing decks ran 1.0 copy on average, winning decks 0.6.

Of 116 mirrors: the loser ran more in 22, the winner ran more in 11, both ran the same in 83.

Smoke Bombs

Losing decks ran 0.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.

Of 116 mirrors: the loser ran more in 30, the winner ran more in 20, both ran the same in 66.

Censer of Restful Peace

Losing decks ran 0.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.

Of 116 mirrors: the loser ran more in 27, the winner ran more in 17, both ran the same in 72.

Impact Hammer

Losing decks ran 0.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.2.

Of 116 mirrors: the loser ran more in 27, the winner ran more in 17, both ran the same in 72.

Safeguard Amulet

Losing decks ran 0.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.

Of 116 mirrors: the loser ran more in 30, the winner ran more in 21, both ran the same in 65.